March 2, 2026, over Kuwait.
A US F-35C pursues a Houthi target at high speed.

The IFF suddenly malfunctions – the pilot fires an AGM-88 HARM and an AIM-120D.
The target sH๏τ down… is a Saudi Arabian Air Force MQ-9 Reaper.
The Reaper pilot is killed.
Just hours later:
Saudi Arabia demands a public explanation from the US.

The UAE and Bahrain suspend coordinated airstrikes.
All joint coalition missions are delayed for 72 hours.
An unintentional mistake, but trust is shaken.
As allies begin to wonder, “Next time, will it be us?”, the effectiveness of joint operations collapses rapidly – and the anti-Iran/Houthi coalition risks fragmentation.

The US is racing to control the damage, but cracks have already appeared.
How long do you think this alliance could last if another incident occurred?