Zoe Saldaña’s Oscar hopes seem guaranteed after her SAG Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role, which she won for Emilia Pérez. Netflix’s Emilia Pérez is one of 2024’s most controversial movies, but despite the backlash, it’s managed to pick up momentum in 2025’s awards season. The film already picked up four wins at the Golden Globes in January, and it’s nominated for several Oscars, with Zoe Saldaña seeming like a consistent lead for each ceremony’s supporting actress category.

In a category that included major names like Jamie Lee Curtis and Arianna Grande, Zoe Saldaña managed to pull off another win, keeping her H๏τ streak going after the Golden Globes. The nature of Hollywood’s awards shows is that narratives consistently dictate the outcomes. Sure, the different shows have varying voter bases, so the results are never going to be identical, but they often have enough similarities that they can be used to make calculated predictions. Zoe Saldaña being listed among the 2025 SAG Awards winners is notable for her Oscar chances.

Zoe Saldaña’s SAG Awards Win Makes Her Winning The 2025 Best Supporting Actress Oscar Almost Guaranteed

The Last Six Winners In This Category All Won The Oscar

After her SAG Award win, Zoe Saldaña seems almost guaranteed to win Best Supporting Actress at the Academy Awards. A fascinating statistic shows that the SAG Award winner for Female Actor in a Supporting Role has been consistent with the Oscars’ Best Supporting Actress winner since 2018. Laura Dern, fellow SAG nominee Jamie Lee Curtis, and last year’s Da’Vine Joy Randolph are among the list of actresses who all went on to win the Oscar following their SAG wins.

Anything can happen at the upcoming Academy Awards ceremony, but this year’s Oscar predictions have primarily argued Zoe Saldaña’s case for Best Supporting Actress. Now that she has the narrative and other awards under her belt, it seems almost guaranteed that she’ll take home the most significant award of the season.

Emily Blunt Was The Last Supporting Drama Actress Winner Not To Win (Or Even Be Nominated) For The Same Oscars Category That Year

Emily Blunt Was Snubbed By The Oscars For Her Role In A Quiet Place

Emily Blunt is the outlier in recent years, having won the SAG Award for Female Actor in a Supporting Role in 2018 but not going on to win the Oscar. In fact, her role in A Quiet Place wasn’t even nominated for an Oscar. The film, which was widely celebrated, only earned one Oscar nomination, but the ceremony has commonly been critiqued for its disregard for horror films. This may be an outlier to the statistic, but Zoe Saldaña’s chances with Emilia Pérez are significantly higher than Blunt’s, primarily due to the type of film it was.